Risk analysis of connectors in various stages of technology development
One. Risks in the R & D thought stage
Technical ideas may come from within the enterprise, that is, the development of the company's own technology research and development, or from outside the enterprise, that is, the improvement of the level of social science knowledge. At this stage, the company does not invest much, and failure will not cause excessive financial losses, but it may result in loss of opportunity. The main reason is that the broad technical development ideas make the technical direction unclear, the opportunities in each direction cannot be accurately grasped, the surface investment is small, but the accuracy rate is low, and market opportunities are lost. Under this mechanism, many people follow the success stories and imitate them.
Two. Risks in the research and evaluation phase
After researching and developing ideas, it is necessary to investigate whether the research ideas are feasible through investigation and evaluation, including investigations on markets, technologies, and organizational capabilities of enterprises. The main influencing factors of risk at this stage are the mastery of information, the accuracy of the survey results, and the decisions made based on the results.
Three. Risks during product development
This stage is mainly to carry out laboratory research and development work on screened R & D projects, and to produce samples. At this stage, there may be a discontinuous transfer of technology, and the original technology has received a complete disruption and devastating blow. In addition, the realization of enterprise technology research and development depends on the intellectual work of individual knowledge workers. There are two characteristic problems in the management of technology companies: the difficulty in supervision and the inseparability of labor and tools. An important factor in this stage of risk is the loss of core talent
Four. Risks in the pilot phase
This stage is a further verification stage of the feasibility analysis of research and development. It mainly conducts technical, production, and market test activities on the developed products to solve technical related problems, and puts small batches of products on the market. Let's examine the market's response and decide on this project. The risk factors are mainly caused by insufficient intermediate test equipment, poor product or process reliability, insufficient technical force, lack of auxiliary technology, unreasonable design principles, and unstable performance of technical results.
Five. Risks in the mass production phase
Enterprises entering the large-scale large-scale production stage need sufficient capital investment and good financial conditions to ensure the success of technology research and development. The risks faced by enterprises at this stage are mainly due to excessive borrowing during technological research and development activities, and large adjustments in interest rates and exchange rates, resulting in debts that cannot be repaid on time; product sales income cannot be recovered for a variety of reasons, and payment for suppliers cannot be paid, etc.
Six. Risks of entering the market stage
In the market realization of enterprise technology research and development, market uncertainty will be encountered. The main factors at this stage are product price and quality.
Seven. Risks in normal production process
This risk arises from the risks caused by the entry of imitators after the market matures. After entering the market, the company's new technology will inevitably encounter a serious technology spillover. The entry of imitators leads to a fierce market and makes it difficult to recover the cost of technology research and development. The main risk at this stage is that the investment cannot be effectively recovered or the expected profit target is not achieved.
Technical ideas may come from within the enterprise, that is, the development of the company's own technology research and development, or from outside the enterprise, that is, the improvement of the level of social science knowledge. At this stage, the company does not invest much, and failure will not cause excessive financial losses, but it may result in loss of opportunity. The main reason is that the broad technical development ideas make the technical direction unclear, the opportunities in each direction cannot be accurately grasped, the surface investment is small, but the accuracy rate is low, and market opportunities are lost. Under this mechanism, many people follow the success stories and imitate them.
Two. Risks in the research and evaluation phase
After researching and developing ideas, it is necessary to investigate whether the research ideas are feasible through investigation and evaluation, including investigations on markets, technologies, and organizational capabilities of enterprises. The main influencing factors of risk at this stage are the mastery of information, the accuracy of the survey results, and the decisions made based on the results.
Three. Risks during product development
This stage is mainly to carry out laboratory research and development work on screened R & D projects, and to produce samples. At this stage, there may be a discontinuous transfer of technology, and the original technology has received a complete disruption and devastating blow. In addition, the realization of enterprise technology research and development depends on the intellectual work of individual knowledge workers. There are two characteristic problems in the management of technology companies: the difficulty in supervision and the inseparability of labor and tools. An important factor in this stage of risk is the loss of core talent
Four. Risks in the pilot phase
This stage is a further verification stage of the feasibility analysis of research and development. It mainly conducts technical, production, and market test activities on the developed products to solve technical related problems, and puts small batches of products on the market. Let's examine the market's response and decide on this project. The risk factors are mainly caused by insufficient intermediate test equipment, poor product or process reliability, insufficient technical force, lack of auxiliary technology, unreasonable design principles, and unstable performance of technical results.
Five. Risks in the mass production phase
Enterprises entering the large-scale large-scale production stage need sufficient capital investment and good financial conditions to ensure the success of technology research and development. The risks faced by enterprises at this stage are mainly due to excessive borrowing during technological research and development activities, and large adjustments in interest rates and exchange rates, resulting in debts that cannot be repaid on time; product sales income cannot be recovered for a variety of reasons, and payment for suppliers cannot be paid, etc.
Six. Risks of entering the market stage
In the market realization of enterprise technology research and development, market uncertainty will be encountered. The main factors at this stage are product price and quality.
Seven. Risks in normal production process
This risk arises from the risks caused by the entry of imitators after the market matures. After entering the market, the company's new technology will inevitably encounter a serious technology spillover. The entry of imitators leads to a fierce market and makes it difficult to recover the cost of technology research and development. The main risk at this stage is that the investment cannot be effectively recovered or the expected profit target is not achieved.
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